Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | LEH +114 BU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -0.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -0.7 (+3.7) | 146.8 (-9.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -0.6 (+3.6) | 147.3 (-10.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -0.7 (+3.7) | 148.7 (-11.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -0.7 (+3.7) | 149.8 (-12.8) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | LEH 74 – 60 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | BU 79 – 68 LEH |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BU 63 – 58 LEH |
| Mar 10, 2024 | LEH 84 – 79 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#298) | -5.9 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#308) | -1.43 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#324) | -1.88 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#279) | 0.437 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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