Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -12.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -10.3 (+5.7) | 133.5 (+20.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -9.8 (+6.2) | 137.7 (+16.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -10.1 (+5.9) | 136.6 (+17.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -10.2 (+5.8) | 134.8 (+19.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CLE 89 – 82 GB |
| Jan 16, 2026 | GB 88 – 73 CLE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLE 81 – 66 GB |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLE 83 – 61 GB |
| Feb 29, 2024 | GB 69 – 61 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#191) | -10.3 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#136) | -3.08 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#156) | -3.53 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#99) | 0.373 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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