Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | GB -360 CLE +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | GB -10.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -10.8 (-17.8) | 152.2 (+18.8) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -7.4 (-14.4) | 153.5 (+17.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -9.4 (-16.4) | 152.0 (+19.0) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GB -9.5 (-16.5) | 153.6 (+17.4) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | GB 88 – 73 CLE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLE 81 – 66 GB |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLE 83 – 61 GB |
| Feb 29, 2024 | GB 69 – 61 CLE |
| Jan 14, 2024 | GB 79 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 88.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#225) | -11.7 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#157) | -1.67 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#179) | -2.24 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#118) | 0.409 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 60.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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