Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | GB -115 CLE -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | GB -3.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -1.4 (+6.6) | 139.2 (+10.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -0.4 (+7.6) | 138.8 (+11.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -2.0 (+6.0) | 139.2 (+10.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -2.6 (+5.4) | 140.7 (+9.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CLE 89 – 82 GB |
| Jan 16, 2026 | GB 88 – 73 CLE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLE 81 – 66 GB |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLE 83 – 61 GB |
| Feb 29, 2024 | GB 69 – 61 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#208) | -1.2 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#211) | 0.17 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#220) | -0.00 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#201) | 0.503 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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