That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
Horizon League · Resch Center · December 7, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread GB -2.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money GB -135 / CLE +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual CLE +22 144 Lost
Massey GB -9.0 (-31.0)
Massey Totals 149.9 (-5.9)
Bradley-Terry 49%
Weighted B-T 50%
Efficiency Plus ML GB -2.6 (-24.6) 142.7 (+1.3) 49%
Baseline Tuned ML GB -3.1 (-25.1) 144.6 (-0.6) 65%
Baseline ML GB -3.6 (-25.6) 144.5 (-0.5) 61%
Baseline Plus ML GB -3.4 (-25.4) 141.7 (+2.3) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CLE 8982 GB
Jan 16, 2026 GB 8873 CLE
Jan 25, 2025 CLE 8166 GB
Feb 29, 2024 GB 6961 CLE
Jan 14, 2024 GB 7971 CLE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB CLE
Overall 4-28 23-13
Conference 2-18 14-6
Home 3-11 14-4
Away 1-17 7-7
Neutral 0-0 2-2
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 70.3
Avg Pts Against 80.6 68.0
Massey -5.1 (#253) -9.3 (#316)
Bradley-Terry -1.58 (#301) -0.67 (#236)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.71 (#268) -0.70 (#213)
RPI 0.388 (#327) 0.464 (#236)
Shooting & Four Factors GB CLE
FG% 44.8% 40.1%
3PT% 34.2% 23.3%
REB / G 29.3 30.9
OREB / G 5.4 11.8
AST / TO 1.05 0.63
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 43.6%
TOV% 17.1% 22.3%
ORB% 16.6% 33.8%
FT Rate 26.4% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.0% 53.8%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 24.3%
DRB% 66.4% 64.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.2% 31.7%

Game Analysis

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