Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Horizon League · Wolstein Center · January 16, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread GB -3.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money CLE +140 / GB -166
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLE win
Actual GB +15 161 Lost
Massey GB -5.3 (-9.7) — —
Massey Totals — 154.2 (+6.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 11% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 7% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GB -5.6 (-9.4) 146.0 (+15.0) 34% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GB -3.1 (-11.9) 146.6 (+14.4) 48% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GB -5.8 (-9.2) 148.0 (+13.0) 25% ✓
Baseline ML GB -5.5 (-9.5) 148.5 (+12.5) 31% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CLE 89 – 82 GB
Jan 25, 2025 CLE 81 – 66 GB
Dec 7, 2024 CLE 83 – 61 GB
Feb 29, 2024 GB 69 – 61 CLE
Jan 14, 2024 GB 79 – 71 CLE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLE GB
Overall 11-22 18-15
Conference 6-14 12-8
Home 7-8 10-4
Away 3-13 6-9
Neutral 1-1 2-2
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.6 73.9
Avg Pts Against 88.6 75.9
Massey -12.9 (#336) -4.1 (#232)
Bradley-Terry -2.40 (#338) 0.27 (#149)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.01 (#336) 0.17 (#157)
RPI 0.380 (#348) 0.541 (#93)
Shooting & Four Factors CLE GB
FG% 42.7% 46.9%
3PT% 36.8% 34.6%
REB / G 32.7 31.1
OREB / G 10.5 7.2
AST / TO 0.98 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 53.6%
TOV% 19.7% 16.7%
ORB% 30.1% 23.9%
FT Rate 29.4% 34.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.1% 54.5%
Opp TOV% 14.9% 12.7%
DRB% 60.0% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 26.7% 26.1%

Game Analysis

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