Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -7.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -5.6 (+13.6) | 144.6 (+3.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -6.9 (+14.9) | 144.5 (+3.5) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -7.2 (+15.2) | 144.7 (+3.3) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -6.3 (+14.3) | 146.2 (+1.8) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | NOLA 78 – 64 UIW |
| Dec 9, 2025 | NOLA 84 – 83 UIW |
| Feb 11, 2025 | UIW 75 – 65 NOLA |
| Jan 28, 2025 | UIW 74 – 58 NOLA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NOLA 87 – 80 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 10-4 |
| Home | 5-10 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#351) | -4.3 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.39 (#353) | -0.43 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.74 (#351) | -0.53 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#331) | 0.485 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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