Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | UIW -150 NOLA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -5.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -3.8 (-10.8) | 157.0 (+10.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -3.9 (-10.9) | 154.4 (+12.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -4.3 (-11.3) | 154.4 (+12.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -4.2 (-11.2) | 154.1 (+12.9) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | NOLA 78 – 64 UIW |
| Dec 9, 2025 | NOLA 84 – 83 UIW |
| Feb 11, 2025 | UIW 75 – 65 NOLA |
| Jan 28, 2025 | UIW 74 – 58 NOLA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UIW 82 – 80 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-8 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-14 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#335) | -14.3 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#341) | -2.74 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#345) | -3.49 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#354) | 0.383 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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