Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA +110 UIW -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +1 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -4.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -1.7 (-0.7) | 146.3 (+20.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -1.8 (-0.8) | 147.5 (+19.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -2.0 (-1.0) | 147.1 (+19.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -1.7 (-0.7) | 149.1 (+17.9) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | NOLA 78 – 64 UIW |
| Feb 11, 2025 | UIW 75 – 65 NOLA |
| Jan 28, 2025 | UIW 74 – 58 NOLA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NOLA 87 – 80 UIW |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UIW 82 – 80 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 12-10 | 7-15 |
| Home | 5-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#201) | -2.0 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#244) | -0.43 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#234) | -0.58 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#201) | 0.481 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 40.3% |
Game Analysis
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