Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UIW -900 NOLA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -10.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -9.3 (+0.7) | 145.3 (-5.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -8.6 (+1.4) | 145.6 (-5.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -8.8 (+1.2) | 146.4 (-6.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -8.4 (+1.6) | 145.7 (-5.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | NOLA 78 – 64 UIW |
| Dec 9, 2025 | NOLA 84 – 83 UIW |
| Jan 28, 2025 | UIW 74 – 58 NOLA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NOLA 87 – 80 UIW |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UIW 82 – 80 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 2-18 |
| Home | 11-5 | 0-11 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 82.5 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#245) | -12.6 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#315) | -2.09 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#295) | -2.56 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#324) | 0.425 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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