Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA -175 UIW +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +2 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | NOLA -0.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -0.6 (-2.6) | 155.0 (+7.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -0.5 (-2.5) | 151.3 (+10.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -0.6 (-2.6) | 153.7 (+8.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -0.1 (-2.1) | 155.0 (+7.0) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | NOLA 78 – 64 UIW |
| Dec 9, 2025 | NOLA 84 – 83 UIW |
| Feb 11, 2025 | UIW 75 – 65 NOLA |
| Jan 28, 2025 | UIW 74 – 58 NOLA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NOLA 87 – 80 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-6 | 5-8 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#343) | -11.1 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#340) | -2.04 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#347) | -2.75 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#337) | 0.374 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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