Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -3.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -2.9 (+0.9) | 148.3 (-18.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -2.4 (+0.4) | 150.2 (-20.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -2.7 (+0.7) | 152.2 (-22.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -2.9 (+0.9) | 151.9 (-21.9) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | COFC 80 – 70 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COFC 85 – 81 ELON |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COFC 88 – 83 ELON |
| Jan 26, 2025 | COFC 76 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 12, 2024 | COFC 80 – 62 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#266) | 0.6 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#258) | 0.26 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#253) | 0.16 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#246) | 0.514 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.1% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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