Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -1600 ELON +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -14.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -11.0 (+7.0) | 152.8 (-10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -14.5 (+3.5) | 155.1 (-13.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -11.2 (+6.8) | 154.1 (-12.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -11.6 (+6.4) | 153.1 (-11.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | COFC 80 – 70 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COFC 85 – 81 ELON |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COFC 88 – 83 ELON |
| Jan 26, 2025 | COFC 76 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 17, 2023 | COFC 88 – 66 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 10-2 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#122) | -7.0 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#78) | -0.79 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#89) | -1.29 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#63) | 0.454 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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