Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -180 ELON +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -2.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -2.6 (+7.4) | 153.0 (-3.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -1.6 (+8.4) | 155.9 (-5.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -2.7 (+7.3) | 155.7 (-5.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -2.7 (+7.3) | 155.0 (-5.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | COFC 85 – 81 ELON |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COFC 88 – 83 ELON |
| Jan 26, 2025 | COFC 76 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 12, 2024 | COFC 80 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 17, 2023 | COFC 88 – 66 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#182) | -0.5 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#129) | 0.08 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#146) | -0.13 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#122) | 0.516 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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