Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | ELON +700 COFC -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +22 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -14.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -13.0 (-9.0) | 146.6 (+7.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -13.8 (-8.2) | 147.4 (+6.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -15.0 (-7.0) | 146.2 (+7.8) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -12.2 (-9.8) | 147.1 (+6.9) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | COFC 80 – 70 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COFC 85 – 81 ELON |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COFC 88 – 83 ELON |
| Jan 26, 2025 | COFC 76 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 12, 2024 | COFC 80 – 62 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 16-2 |
| Home | 5-9 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#323) | 8.6 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#347) | 2.09 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#339) | 2.47 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#346) | 0.583 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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