Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | ELON -148 COFC +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +4 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | ELON -7.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -4.8 (-8.8) | 151.7 (+14.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -4.9 (-8.9) | 152.3 (+13.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -5.5 (-9.5) | 152.8 (+13.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -5.5 (-9.5) | 152.5 (+13.5) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | COFC 80 – 70 ELON |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COFC 88 – 83 ELON |
| Jan 26, 2025 | COFC 76 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 12, 2024 | COFC 80 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 17, 2023 | COFC 88 – 66 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#144) | -1.8 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#139) | -0.04 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#143) | -0.01 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#128) | 0.482 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.