Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | ELON -170 COFC +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +14 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | ELON -4.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -3.4 (-17.4) | 146.0 (-8.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -1.7 (-15.7) | 148.0 (-10.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -3.9 (-17.9) | 148.4 (-10.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -3.4 (-17.4) | 147.0 (-9.0) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | COFC 80 – 70 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COFC 85 – 81 ELON |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COFC 88 – 83 ELON |
| Jan 12, 2024 | COFC 80 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 17, 2023 | COFC 88 – 66 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#122) | 1.3 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#149) | 0.96 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#130) | 0.93 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#135) | 0.559 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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