Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | WSU -6.8 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -7.2 (+3.2) | 129.5 (+2.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -6.0 (+2.0) | 131.7 (+0.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -6.8 (+2.8) | 132.0 (+0.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -6.5 (+2.5) | 133.0 (-1.0) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WSU 84 – 65 CAL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CAL 81 – 75 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WSU 69 – 52 CAL |
| Feb 25, 2023 | WSU 63 – 57 CAL |
| Jan 12, 2023 | WSU 66 – 51 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-8 | 13-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#134) | 11.7 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#172) | 1.20 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#152) | 1.72 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#217) | 0.551 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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