Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -500 CAL +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +19 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -11.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -11.1 (+7.9) | 143.8 (+5.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -12.4 (+6.6) | 142.8 (+6.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -11.5 (+7.5) | 145.1 (+3.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -10.5 (+8.5) | 143.9 (+5.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2024 | CAL 81 – 75 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WSU 69 – 52 CAL |
| Feb 25, 2023 | WSU 63 – 57 CAL |
| Jan 12, 2023 | WSU 66 – 51 CAL |
| Mar 10, 2022 | WSU 66 – 59 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#43) | 3.8 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#37) | 0.18 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#44) | 0.73 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#42) | 0.495 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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