We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Pac-12 Conference · Beasley Coliseum · February 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -9.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money WSU -500 / CAL +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual WSU +19 149 Won
Massey WSU -11.1 (+7.9)
Massey Totals 144.8 (+4.2)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 91%
Efficiency Plus ML WSU -12.4 (+6.6) 142.8 (+6.2) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -11.1 (+7.9) 143.8 (+5.2) 85%
Baseline ML WSU -10.5 (+8.5) 143.9 (+5.1) 84%
Baseline Plus ML WSU -11.5 (+7.5) 145.1 (+3.9) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 20, 2024 CAL 8175 WSU
Mar 8, 2023 WSU 6952 CAL
Feb 25, 2023 WSU 6357 CAL
Jan 12, 2023 WSU 6651 CAL
Mar 10, 2022 WSU 6659 CAL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU CAL
Overall 25-10 13-19
Conference 14-6 9-11
Home 15-2 10-6
Away 6-4 3-8
Neutral 4-4 0-5
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 73.5 74.0
Avg Pts Against 66.7 77.0
Massey 11.5 (#43) 3.8 (#113)
Bradley-Terry 2.04 (#37) 0.18 (#160)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.35 (#44) 0.73 (#126)
RPI 0.586 (#42) 0.495 (#177)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU CAL
FG% 47.2% 42.8%
3PT% 35.0% 34.3%
REB / G 37.9 37.9
OREB / G 10.7 11.0
AST / TO 1.20 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.7% 49.9%
TOV% 15.3% 16.4%
ORB% 31.5% 29.8%
FT Rate 22.5% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.9% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 14.5%
DRB% 74.6% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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