Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | CAL +550 WSU -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +6 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | WSU -10.3 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -10.7 (+4.7) | 129.7 (-9.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -11.6 (+5.6) | 128.8 (-8.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -9.8 (+3.8) | 129.3 (-9.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -12.0 (+6.0) | 131.2 (-11.2) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WSU 84 – 65 CAL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CAL 81 – 75 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WSU 69 – 52 CAL |
| Jan 12, 2023 | WSU 66 – 51 CAL |
| Mar 10, 2022 | WSU 66 – 59 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 3-14 | 10-4 |
| Away | 0-12 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L16 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.3 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#256) | 8.7 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#332) | 0.82 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#306) | 1.26 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#321) | 0.533 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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