Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CAL +105 WSU -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -4.7 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -4.6 (+10.6) | 144.4 (+11.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -4.3 (+10.3) | 143.8 (+12.2) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -4.6 (+10.6) | 146.2 (+9.8) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -4.2 (+10.2) | 144.7 (+11.3) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WSU 84 – 65 CAL |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WSU 69 – 52 CAL |
| Feb 25, 2023 | WSU 63 – 57 CAL |
| Jan 12, 2023 | WSU 66 – 51 CAL |
| Mar 10, 2022 | WSU 66 – 59 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#136) | 10.3 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#220) | 1.75 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#174) | 2.12 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#209) | 0.579 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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