Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
| Money | WSU -1100 CAL +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +17 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -14.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -13.4 (+3.6) | 129.2 (-8.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -14.5 (+2.5) | 127.9 (-6.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -13.5 (+3.5) | 129.1 (-8.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -14.2 (+2.8) | 129.3 (-8.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WSU 84 – 65 CAL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CAL 81 – 75 WSU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | WSU 63 – 57 CAL |
| Jan 12, 2023 | WSU 66 – 51 CAL |
| Mar 10, 2022 | WSU 66 – 59 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 10-4 | 3-14 |
| Away | 4-8 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L16 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 58.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#63) | -5.3 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#91) | -1.96 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#85) | -1.90 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#89) | 0.418 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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