Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
| Money | WSU -360 CAL +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -8.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -7.3 (-0.3) | 131.9 (-6.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -7.5 (-0.5) | 131.2 (-6.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -7.5 (-0.5) | 131.9 (-6.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -7.1 (-0.1) | 132.7 (-7.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WSU 84 – 65 CAL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CAL 81 – 75 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WSU 69 – 52 CAL |
| Feb 25, 2023 | WSU 63 – 57 CAL |
| Jan 12, 2023 | WSU 66 – 51 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 13-7 | 10-8 |
| Away | 8-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#48) | 2.2 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#86) | 0.24 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#74) | 0.58 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#65) | 0.475 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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