Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +15 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -15.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -11.4 (+3.6) | 133.8 (-16.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -13.3 (+1.7) | 129.1 (-12.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -10.3 (+4.7) | 129.6 (-12.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -11.1 (+3.9) | 133.2 (-16.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WSU 84 – 65 CAL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CAL 81 – 75 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WSU 69 – 52 CAL |
| Feb 25, 2023 | WSU 63 – 57 CAL |
| Mar 10, 2022 | WSU 66 – 59 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 10-4 | 3-14 |
| Away | 4-8 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L16 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 58.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#52) | -2.0 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#130) | -1.53 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#97) | -1.52 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#92) | 0.446 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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