Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +24 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | KU -1.2 (+22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -1.9 (+22.1) | 146.9 (-4.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -2.3 (+21.7) | 154.1 (-12.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -2.4 (+21.6) | 154.5 (-12.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -2.4 (+21.6) | 152.4 (-10.4) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | KU 80 – 62 BAY |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BAY 81 – 70 KU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BAY 82 – 74 KU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KU 64 – 61 BAY |
| Feb 18, 2023 | KU 87 – 71 BAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 19-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 64.1 |
| Massey | 18.1 (#9) | 20.1 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#4) | 3.59 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.62 (#4) | 4.57 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.672 (#2) | 0.621 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.