Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BAY -140 KU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -0.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -2.4 (+8.6) | 147.1 (+3.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -3.5 (+7.5) | 143.9 (+7.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -2.5 (+8.5) | 149.0 (+2.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -1.8 (+9.2) | 149.0 (+2.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | KU 80 – 62 BAY |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BAY 82 – 74 KU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KU 64 – 61 BAY |
| Feb 18, 2023 | KU 87 – 71 BAY |
| Jan 24, 2023 | BAY 75 – 69 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#23) | 19.4 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#45) | 3.21 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#47) | 4.14 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#44) | 0.657 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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