Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | BAY -150 KU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -3.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -3.1 (+2.9) | 151.3 (-7.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -3.4 (+2.6) | 149.0 (-5.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -3.3 (+2.7) | 152.4 (-8.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -3.3 (+2.7) | 149.3 (-5.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | KU 80 – 62 BAY |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BAY 81 – 70 KU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BAY 82 – 74 KU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KU 64 – 61 BAY |
| Feb 18, 2023 | KU 87 – 71 BAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#13) | 15.0 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#17) | 3.39 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#16) | 3.93 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#22) | 0.663 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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