Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +16 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -21.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -19.3 (-3.3) | 129.8 (+6.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -16.2 (-0.2) | 128.8 (+7.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -17.5 (-1.5) | 130.1 (+5.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -16.7 (-0.7) | 131.0 (+5.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SJSU 84 – 74 BOIS |
| Feb 21, 2026 | BOIS 84 – 69 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | BOIS 89 – 58 SJSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BOIS 79 – 52 SJSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | BOIS 73 – 71 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 1-17 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 9-3 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#39) | -7.7 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#34) | -0.70 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#37) | -0.98 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#32) | 0.456 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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