Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -2400 SJSU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +15 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -16.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -13.3 (+1.7) | 146.2 (+6.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -17.3 (-2.3) | 145.6 (+7.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -13.3 (+1.7) | 145.7 (+7.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -13.5 (+1.5) | 146.8 (+6.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SJSU 84 – 74 BOIS |
| Jan 28, 2026 | BOIS 89 – 58 SJSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BOIS 79 – 52 SJSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | BOIS 73 – 71 SJSU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | BOIS 82 – 50 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-10 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#60) | -3.9 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#62) | -0.88 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#73) | -0.79 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#51) | 0.444 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.