Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SJSU +600 BOIS -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +31 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -11.3 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -12.0 (-19.0) | 139.7 (+7.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -12.0 (-19.0) | 138.9 (+8.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -11.0 (-20.0) | 140.0 (+7.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -12.4 (-18.6) | 141.7 (+5.3) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SJSU 84 – 74 BOIS |
| Feb 21, 2026 | BOIS 84 – 69 SJSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BOIS 79 – 52 SJSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | BOIS 73 – 71 SJSU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | BOIS 82 – 50 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-10 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-12 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#239) | 10.0 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#253) | 1.57 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#240) | 1.84 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#244) | 0.593 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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