Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -1600 SJSU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +10 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -14.7 (-24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -13.1 (-23.1) | 141.5 (+16.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -14.5 (-24.5) | 142.6 (+15.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -13.7 (-23.7) | 143.6 (+14.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -13.5 (-23.5) | 143.2 (+14.8) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BOIS 84 – 69 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | BOIS 89 – 58 SJSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BOIS 79 – 52 SJSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | BOIS 73 – 71 SJSU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | BOIS 82 – 50 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-10 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#57) | -4.2 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#59) | -0.94 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#63) | -0.87 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#40) | 0.446 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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