Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS -1800 SJSU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +27 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -14.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -13.3 (+13.7) | 143.1 (-12.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -15.8 (+11.2) | 143.2 (-12.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -12.3 (+14.7) | 143.8 (-12.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -12.4 (+14.6) | 143.7 (-12.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SJSU 84 – 74 BOIS |
| Feb 21, 2026 | BOIS 84 – 69 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | BOIS 89 – 58 SJSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | BOIS 73 – 71 SJSU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | BOIS 82 – 50 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#51) | 0.6 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#61) | -0.04 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#61) | -0.23 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#57) | 0.489 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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