Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SJSU +340 BOIS -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -6.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -5.2 (+3.2) | 144.0 (+0.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -8.1 (+6.1) | 143.7 (+0.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -4.7 (+2.7) | 146.0 (-2.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -4.7 (+2.7) | 146.3 (-2.3) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SJSU 84 – 74 BOIS |
| Feb 21, 2026 | BOIS 84 – 69 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | BOIS 89 – 58 SJSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BOIS 79 – 52 SJSU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | BOIS 82 – 50 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#168) | 10.0 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#219) | 1.40 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#214) | 1.95 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#214) | 0.555 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 33.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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