Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +24 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -5.8 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -4.9 (-19.1) | 150.6 (-0.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -4.4 (-19.6) | 151.5 (-1.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -4.8 (-19.2) | 152.4 (-2.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -4.0 (-20.0) | 153.7 (-3.7) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NEB 68 – 49 NU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NEB 77 – 58 NU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | NEB 68 – 64 NU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | NU 80 – 68 NEB |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NEB 75 – 69 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-12 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#185) | 8.0 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#232) | 0.94 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#196) | 1.15 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#230) | 0.520 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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