Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Big Ten Conference · Pinnacle Bank Arena · February 14, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread NEB -13.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money NEB -1350 / NU +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual NEB +19 117 Won
Massey NEB -13.1 (+5.9)
Massey Totals 143.8 (-26.8)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML NEB -12.6 (+6.4) 146.5 (-29.5) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -12.8 (+6.2) 142.8 (-25.8) 87%
Baseline ML NEB -13.2 (+5.8) 144.5 (-27.5) 88%
Baseline Plus ML NEB -13.1 (+5.9) 145.1 (-28.1) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 NEB 7758 NU
Feb 16, 2025 NEB 6864 NU
Feb 8, 2024 NU 8068 NEB
Jan 20, 2024 NEB 7569 NU
Jan 26, 2023 NU 7863 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB NU
Overall 28-7 15-19
Conference 15-5 5-15
Home 16-2 9-8
Away 7-3 3-8
Neutral 5-2 3-3
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.0 73.1
Avg Pts Against 66.1 72.0
Massey 19.2 (#17) 9.0 (#66)
Bradley-Terry 4.02 (#6) 0.61 (#104)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.99 (#7) 0.94 (#98)
RPI 0.631 (#19) 0.513 (#146)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB NU
FG% 47.1% 45.7%
3PT% 35.8% 31.5%
REB / G 35.4 32.1
OREB / G 8.5 9.3
AST / TO 2.04 2.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.3% 51.1%
TOV% 13.3% 12.4%
ORB% 25.4% 27.8%
FT Rate 20.1% 26.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.4% 49.7%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 16.2%
DRB% 72.1% 65.8%
Opp FT Rate 17.5% 26.5%

Game Analysis

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