Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
Big Ten Conference · Pinnacle Bank Arena · January 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread NU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Money NEB +120 / NU -154
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual NU +15 141 Lost
Massey NU -1.7 (-13.3)
Massey Totals 123.2 (+17.8)
Bradley-Terry 51%
Weighted B-T 56%
Efficiency Plus ML NU -2.7 (-12.3) 134.7 (+6.3) 38%
Baseline Tuned ML NU -2.1 (-12.9) 132.4 (+8.6) 43%
Baseline ML NU -1.6 (-13.4) 132.1 (+8.9) 38%
Baseline Plus ML NU -2.2 (-12.8) 134.4 (+6.6) 40%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 NEB 6849 NU
Jan 17, 2026 NEB 7758 NU
Feb 16, 2025 NEB 6864 NU
Feb 8, 2024 NU 8068 NEB
Jan 20, 2024 NEB 7569 NU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB NU
Overall 16-16 22-12
Conference 9-11 12-8
Home 11-4 13-5
Away 4-9 7-4
Neutral 1-3 2-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.0 67.7
Avg Pts Against 69.9 62.8
Massey 4.9 (#102) 10.1 (#44)
Bradley-Terry 1.23 (#76) 1.81 (#47)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.55 (#74) 2.02 (#57)
RPI 0.545 (#95) 0.574 (#58)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB NU
FG% 43.9% 39.1%
3PT% 29.8% 31.8%
REB / G 36.5 37.2
OREB / G 9.9 11.2
AST / TO 1.03 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 45.8%
TOV% 18.9% 15.4%
ORB% 28.3% 29.7%
FT Rate 17.4% 25.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 46.2%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 22.4%
DRB% 72.0% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 13.8% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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