That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
Big Ten Conference · Pinnacle Bank Arena · January 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread NU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Money NEB +120 / NU -154
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual NU +15 141 Lost
Massey NU -1.7 (-13.3) — —
Massey Totals — 123.2 (+17.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 51% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 56% ✗
Baseline Plus ML NU -2.2 (-12.8) 134.4 (+6.6) 40% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NU -2.7 (-12.3) 134.7 (+6.3) 38% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NU -2.1 (-12.9) 132.4 (+8.6) 43% ✓
Baseline ML NU -1.6 (-13.4) 132.1 (+8.9) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 NEB 68 – 49 NU
Jan 17, 2026 NEB 77 – 58 NU
Feb 16, 2025 NEB 68 – 64 NU
Feb 8, 2024 NU 80 – 68 NEB
Jan 20, 2024 NEB 75 – 69 NU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB NU
Overall 16-16 22-12
Conference 9-11 12-8
Home 11-4 13-5
Away 4-9 7-4
Neutral 1-3 2-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.0 67.7
Avg Pts Against 69.9 62.8
Massey 4.9 (#102) 10.1 (#44)
Bradley-Terry 1.23 (#76) 1.81 (#47)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.55 (#74) 2.02 (#57)
RPI 0.545 (#95) 0.574 (#58)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB NU
FG% 43.9% 39.1%
3PT% 29.8% 31.8%
REB / G 36.5 37.2
OREB / G 9.9 11.2
AST / TO 1.03 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 45.8%
TOV% 18.9% 15.4%
ORB% 28.3% 29.7%
FT Rate 17.4% 25.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 46.2%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 22.4%
DRB% 72.0% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 13.8% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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