But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
Big Ten Conference · Welsh-Ryan Arena · February 16, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread NEB -1.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money NU +115 / NEB -135
Model Predictions
Spread Total NU win
Actual NEB +4 132 Lost
Massey NU -1.6 (-5.6) — —
Massey Totals — 141.7 (-9.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 40% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 35% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NU -1.0 (-5.0) 144.3 (-12.3) 52% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NU -2.4 (-6.4) 140.9 (-8.9) 57% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML NU -2.0 (-6.0) 142.2 (-10.2) 56% ✗
Baseline ML NU -0.7 (-4.7) 142.9 (-10.9) 57% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 NEB 68 – 49 NU
Jan 17, 2026 NEB 77 – 58 NU
Feb 8, 2024 NU 80 – 68 NEB
Jan 20, 2024 NEB 75 – 69 NU
Jan 26, 2023 NU 78 – 63 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NU NEB
Overall 17-16 21-14
Conference 7-13 7-13
Home 12-5 10-6
Away 2-9 5-7
Neutral 3-2 6-1
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 W4
Avg Pts For 72.4 76.0
Avg Pts Against 69.2 72.6
Massey 10.3 (#58) 11.9 (#50)
Bradley-Terry 1.22 (#77) 2.21 (#42)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.80 (#69) 3.07 (#36)
RPI 0.534 (#114) 0.599 (#36)
Shooting & Four Factors NU NEB
FG% 44.5% 46.0%
3PT% 33.7% 33.2%
REB / G 33.7 35.6
OREB / G 11.0 9.1
AST / TO 1.51 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 52.4%
TOV% 14.3% 16.5%
ORB% 30.9% 27.0%
FT Rate 22.8% 27.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 18.0%
DRB% 70.3% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 27.3% 19.0%

Game Analysis

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