But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Big Ten Conference · Welsh-Ryan Arena · February 16, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread NEB -1.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money NU +115 / NEB -135
Model Predictions
Spread Total NU win
Actual NEB +4 132 Lost
Massey NU -1.6 (-5.6)
Massey Totals 141.7 (-9.7)
Bradley-Terry 40%
Weighted B-T 35%
Efficiency Plus ML NU -2.4 (-6.4) 140.9 (-8.9) 57%
Baseline Tuned ML NU -2.0 (-6.0) 142.2 (-10.2) 56%
Baseline ML NU -0.7 (-4.7) 142.9 (-10.9) 57%
Baseline Plus ML NU -1.0 (-5.0) 144.3 (-12.3) 52%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 NEB 6849 NU
Jan 17, 2026 NEB 7758 NU
Feb 8, 2024 NU 8068 NEB
Jan 20, 2024 NEB 7569 NU
Jan 26, 2023 NU 7863 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NU NEB
Overall 17-16 21-14
Conference 7-13 7-13
Home 12-5 10-6
Away 2-9 5-7
Neutral 3-2 6-1
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 W4
Avg Pts For 72.4 76.0
Avg Pts Against 69.2 72.6
Massey 10.3 (#58) 11.9 (#50)
Bradley-Terry 1.22 (#77) 2.21 (#42)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.80 (#69) 3.07 (#36)
RPI 0.534 (#114) 0.599 (#36)
Shooting & Four Factors NU NEB
FG% 44.5% 46.0%
3PT% 33.7% 33.2%
REB / G 33.7 35.6
OREB / G 11.0 9.1
AST / TO 1.51 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 52.4%
TOV% 14.3% 16.5%
ORB% 30.9% 27.0%
FT Rate 22.8% 27.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 18.0%
DRB% 70.3% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 27.3% 19.0%

Game Analysis

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