Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -167 NU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -5.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -4.0 (+2.0) | 144.7 (-0.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -4.0 (+2.0) | 143.1 (+0.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -4.1 (+1.9) | 145.7 (-1.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -4.6 (+1.4) | 146.0 (-2.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NEB 68 – 49 NU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NEB 77 – 58 NU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | NEB 68 – 64 NU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | NU 80 – 68 NEB |
| Jan 26, 2023 | NU 78 – 63 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 18-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#59) | 7.4 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#50) | 2.21 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#48) | 2.92 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#57) | 0.594 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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