The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Big Ten Conference · Welsh-Ryan Arena · January 17, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread NEB -4.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money NU +170 / NEB -205
Model Predictions
Spread Total NU win
Actual NEB +19 135 Lost
Massey NEB -5.7 (-13.3) — —
Massey Totals — 147.7 (-12.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 1% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 0% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NEB -5.2 (-13.8) 144.1 (-9.1) 28% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NEB -3.4 (-15.6) 146.0 (-11.0) 39% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -6.0 (-13.0) 140.9 (-5.9) 28% ✓
Baseline ML NEB -5.1 (-13.9) 142.1 (-7.1) 35% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 NEB 68 – 49 NU
Feb 16, 2025 NEB 68 – 64 NU
Feb 8, 2024 NU 80 – 68 NEB
Jan 20, 2024 NEB 75 – 69 NU
Jan 26, 2023 NU 78 – 63 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NU NEB
Overall 15-19 28-7
Conference 5-15 15-5
Home 9-8 16-2
Away 3-8 7-3
Neutral 3-3 5-2
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.1 77.0
Avg Pts Against 72.0 66.1
Massey 9.3 (#64) 18.4 (#18)
Bradley-Terry 0.34 (#144) 5.51 (#2)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.56 (#131) 7.23 (#3)
RPI 0.506 (#164) 0.679 (#5)
Shooting & Four Factors NU NEB
FG% 47.3% 47.2%
3PT% 31.3% 35.2%
REB / G 33.4 37.1
OREB / G 9.9 9.4
AST / TO 2.15 1.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.7% 56.3%
TOV% 12.3% 13.5%
ORB% 30.0% 27.6%
FT Rate 29.6% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 46.4%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 19.1%
DRB% 65.5% 73.0%
Opp FT Rate 26.0% 16.9%

Game Analysis

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