Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | NU -250 NEB +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | NU -2.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -3.2 (+8.8) | 146.3 (+1.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -2.8 (+9.2) | 148.6 (-0.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -2.2 (+9.8) | 150.1 (-2.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -2.7 (+9.3) | 149.7 (-1.7) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NEB 68 – 49 NU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NEB 77 – 58 NU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | NEB 68 – 64 NU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NEB 75 – 69 NU |
| Jan 26, 2023 | NU 78 – 63 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 18-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#66) | 10.1 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#38) | 1.98 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#31) | 2.48 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#64) | 0.589 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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