Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +15 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -5.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -5.4 (+9.6) | 140.5 (+2.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -6.0 (+9.0) | 141.4 (+1.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -6.3 (+8.7) | 139.9 (+3.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -6.1 (+8.9) | 140.1 (+2.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | NMSU 82 – 75 SEA |
| Jan 13, 2023 | SEA 69 – 66 NMSU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | NMSU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 14, 2021 | NMSU 65 – 58 SEA |
| Feb 13, 2021 | SEA 83 – 72 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-2 | 17-2 |
| Away | 10-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#95) | 2.8 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#40) | 0.97 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#62) | 1.08 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#34) | 0.533 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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