Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | NMSU -110 SEA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -0.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -0.1 (+7.1) | 146.2 (+10.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -0.1 (+6.9) | 142.8 (+14.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -0.4 (+7.4) | 142.6 (+14.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -0.7 (+7.7) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2023 | SEA 69 – 66 NMSU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | NMSU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 5, 2022 | NMSU 79 – 64 SEA |
| Feb 14, 2021 | NMSU 65 – 58 SEA |
| Feb 13, 2021 | SEA 83 – 72 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#185) | 2.4 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#242) | 0.98 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#221) | 0.90 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#228) | 0.547 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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