Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SEA +300 NMSU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -2.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -0.4 (+10.6) | 141.8 (+13.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -0.6 (+10.4) | 138.5 (+16.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.0 (+10.0) | 140.0 (+15.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -0.8 (+10.2) | 141.0 (+14.0) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | NMSU 82 – 75 SEA |
| Jan 13, 2023 | SEA 69 – 66 NMSU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | NMSU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 5, 2022 | NMSU 79 – 64 SEA |
| Feb 14, 2021 | NMSU 65 – 58 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 7-6 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-2 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#275) | -2.4 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#281) | -2.18 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#268) | -2.45 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#332) | 0.395 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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