Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SEA +250 NMSU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +7 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -0.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -1.6 (-8.6) | 143.7 (-20.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -1.2 (-8.2) | 140.7 (-17.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -2.9 (-9.9) | 142.9 (-19.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.3 (-9.3) | 143.7 (-20.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | NMSU 82 – 75 SEA |
| Jan 13, 2023 | SEA 69 – 66 NMSU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | NMSU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 5, 2022 | NMSU 79 – 64 SEA |
| Feb 13, 2021 | SEA 83 – 72 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 7-6 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-2 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#263) | -4.0 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#272) | -2.32 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#265) | -2.53 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#329) | 0.370 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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