Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SEA +125 NMSU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +13 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -0.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -1.4 (-14.4) | 142.9 (-19.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -0.8 (-13.8) | 142.5 (-19.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.5 (-14.5) | 143.1 (-20.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -1.5 (-14.5) | 143.4 (-20.4) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | NMSU 82 – 75 SEA |
| Jan 13, 2023 | SEA 69 – 66 NMSU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | NMSU 79 – 64 SEA |
| Feb 14, 2021 | NMSU 65 – 58 SEA |
| Feb 13, 2021 | SEA 83 – 72 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 17-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#117) | 6.3 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#100) | 2.04 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#104) | 2.09 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#118) | 0.602 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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