Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -163 NMSU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -4.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -4.4 (-1.4) | 146.2 (-11.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -3.7 (-0.7) | 144.1 (-9.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -4.2 (-1.2) | 145.0 (-10.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -4.8 (-1.8) | 145.6 (-10.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | NMSU 82 – 75 SEA |
| Feb 22, 2022 | NMSU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 5, 2022 | NMSU 79 – 64 SEA |
| Feb 14, 2021 | NMSU 65 – 58 SEA |
| Feb 13, 2021 | SEA 83 – 72 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#131) | 2.0 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#87) | -0.39 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#103) | -0.07 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#97) | 0.501 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.