Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -3.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -2.5 (-0.5) | 142.1 (+4.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -1.6 (-1.4) | 140.2 (+6.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -2.1 (-0.9) | 142.2 (+4.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -2.4 (-0.6) | 142.8 (+4.2) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | SJU 92 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SJU 84 – 70 BTLR |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SJU 78 – 57 BTLR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SJU 76 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SJU 70 – 62 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#137) | 7.5 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#86) | 1.25 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#79) | 1.96 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#124) | 0.527 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.