Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | SJU -1000 BTLR +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +22 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -9.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -10.6 (+11.4) | 159.1 (+2.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -10.4 (+11.6) | 161.0 (+1.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -10.9 (+11.1) | 157.6 (+4.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -9.9 (+12.1) | 156.1 (+5.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | SJU 84 – 70 BTLR |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SJU 78 – 57 BTLR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SJU 76 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SJU 70 – 62 BTLR |
| Feb 29, 2024 | SJU 82 – 59 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 7-13 |
| Home | 18-2 | 10-7 |
| Away | 9-1 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 77.5 |
| Massey | 18.0 (#23) | 11.3 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#31) | 1.67 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.37 (#33) | 2.19 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#29) | 0.557 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.