Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -800 BUT +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -11.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -10.8 (-2.8) | 146.4 (-14.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -11.5 (-3.5) | 146.1 (-14.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -10.7 (-2.7) | 147.4 (-15.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -11.0 (-3.0) | 146.1 (-14.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | SJU 92 – 70 BUT |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SJU 84 – 70 BUT |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SJU 78 – 57 BUT |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SJU 76 – 70 BUT |
| Feb 29, 2024 | SJU 82 – 59 BUT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | BUT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-5 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 6-14 |
| Home | 19-0 | 9-8 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#27) | 7.8 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#50) | 0.70 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#29) | 1.73 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#30) | 0.536 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | BUT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 36.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 11.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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