Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +15 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | PENN -9.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -8.2 (-6.8) | 148.5 (-1.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -8.3 (-6.7) | 150.9 (-3.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -8.1 (-6.9) | 153.3 (-6.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -8.7 (-6.3) | 153.6 (-6.6) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 76 – 67 COLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | COLU 72 – 67 PENN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PENN 92 – 87 COLU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PENN 93 – 78 COLU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PENN 84 – 72 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 3-10 | 6-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#345) | -1.8 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.93 (#347) | -0.33 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.59 (#346) | -0.24 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.347 (#354) | 0.485 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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